Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun

The model lands on Washington Mystics here, giving them a 76% chance to come out on top against Connecticut Sun. A clear 76% edge — one of the cleaner spots on the board.

Why we lean this way

• Records: Connecticut Sun 2-13 at home vs Washington Mystics 5-7.
• Home court: weighted at +6% for Connecticut Sun — home advantage swings bigger in the WNBA than most leagues.
• Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena.

The verdict

Bottom line: Washington Mystics to win is a strong lean. Treat it like a 76% spot — not a sure thing, because there is no such thing. Size it sensibly and enjoy the game.

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