Player props
Player Props
Our model projection for each player and a plain-English lean. These are projections for research, not graded edges — they are excluded from our public win-rate and ROI. Stack the ones you like into a fun slip.
Michael King
San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians · MLB · 3.37 ERA
Strikeouts 4.5
Over 5.0
56%
hit
Bo Bichette
New York Mets vs Washington Nationals · MLB · .262 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers · MLB · 2.65 ERA
Strikeouts 5.5
Over 6.0
55%
hit
Pete Alonso
Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays · MLB · .259 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Brandon Pfaadt
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves · MLB · 3.36 ERA
Strikeouts 4.5
Over 4.9
54%
hit
Ketel Marte
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves · MLB · .252 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Matthew Liberatore
St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs · MLB · 5.15 ERA
Strikeouts 4.5
Over 4.8
52%
hit
Brandon Nimmo
Texas Rangers vs Athletics · MLB · .274 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Steven Matz
Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles · MLB · 5.46 ERA
Strikeouts 4.5
Over 4.8
52%
hit
Chase Meidroth
Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers · MLB · .279 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Robert Gasser
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers · MLB · 4.57 ERA
Strikeouts 4.5
Over 4.7
51%
hit
TJ Rumfield
Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants · MLB · .294 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Bubba Chandler
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox · MLB · 4.26 ERA
Strikeouts 4.5
Over 4.7
51%
hit
Randy Arozarena
Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros · MLB · .276 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Gavin Williams
Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres · MLB · 3.55 ERA
Strikeouts 7.5
Over 7.7
50%
hit
Sal Stewart
Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins · MLB · .259 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Clay Holmes
Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals · MLB · 2.86 ERA
Strikeouts 4.5
Over 4.6
49%
hit
Zach Neto
Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City Royals · MLB · .224 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 0.9
59%
hit
Kyle Freeland
Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants · MLB · 6.63 ERA
Strikeouts 4.5
Over 4.6
49%
hit
Ben Rice
New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays · MLB · .256 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 0.9
59%
hit
Shane Bieber
Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees · MLB · 5.48 ERA
Strikeouts 3.5
Over 3.6
48%
hit
Luis Arraez
San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies · MLB · .316 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.3
37%
hit
Chase Burns
Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins · MLB · 2.61 ERA
Strikeouts 6.0
Over 6.5
47%
hit
Otto Lopez
Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds · MLB · .312 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.3
37%
hit
Robert Stock
New York Mets vs Washington Nationals · MLB · 10.13 ERA
Strikeouts 5.0
Over 5.5
47%
hit
Yandy Díaz
Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles · MLB · .302 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.2
34%
hit
Peter Lambert
Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners · MLB · 3.09 ERA
Strikeouts 5.0
Over 5.5
47%
hit
Nick Gonzales
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox · MLB · .309 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.2
34%
hit
Jackson Jobe
Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox · MLB · 0.00 ERA
Strikeouts 4.0
Over 4.4
45%
hit
Yordan Alvarez
Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners · MLB · .322 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.2
34%
hit
Landen Roupp
San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies · MLB · 4.22 ERA
Strikeouts 5.0
Over 5.3
44%
hit
CJ Abrams
Washington Nationals vs New York Mets · MLB · .284 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Andrew Alvarez
Washington Nationals vs New York Mets · MLB · 3.76 ERA
Strikeouts 7.0
Over 7.2
43%
hit
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals · MLB · .281 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Seth Lugo
Kansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Angels · MLB · 4.41 ERA
Strikeouts 4.0
Over 4.3
43%
hit
Alec Burleson
St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs · MLB · .287 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Gerrit Cole
New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays · MLB · 3.35 ERA
Strikeouts 6.0
Over 6.2
43%
hit
Freddie Freeman
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers · MLB · .304 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Kumar Rocker
Texas Rangers vs Athletics · MLB · 4.46 ERA
Strikeouts 5.0
Over 5.2
42%
hit
Brice Turang
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers · MLB · .268 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Grayson Rodriguez
Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City Royals · MLB · 7.20 ERA
Strikeouts 4.0
Over 4.2
41%
hit
Michael Harris II
Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks · MLB · .290 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Jake Bennett
Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates · MLB · 3.17 ERA
Strikeouts 4.0
Over 4.2
41%
hit
Bobby Witt Jr.
Kansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Angels · MLB · .285 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Sean Newcomb
Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers · MLB · 2.66 ERA
Strikeouts 5.0
Over 5.1
40%
hit
Chase DeLauter
Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres · MLB · .285 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
George Kirby
Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros · MLB · 3.68 ERA
Strikeouts 5.0
Over 5.1
40%
hit
Fernando Tatis Jr.
San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians · MLB · .281 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Sandy Alcantara
Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds · MLB · 3.52 ERA
Strikeouts 5.0
Over 5.1
40%
hit
Ernie Clement
Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees · MLB · .280 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Shea Langeliers
Athletics vs Texas Rangers · MLB · .263 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Kevin McGonigle
Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox · MLB · .286 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Ceddanne Rafaela
Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates · MLB · .288 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Model projections — not graded edges. The line shown is our own projection benchmark, not a live sportsbook prop line, and the “hit %” is a Poisson estimate from each player's season rate. These are for research and for building fun slips — they are not tracked in our public win-rate or ROI record. Real sportsbook prop lines are on the roadmap.
Prop slips (for fun)
Safe prop parlay+296
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits63%
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits63%
Ketel Marte Over 0.5 Hits63%
25%combined hit
$39.6on $10
3legs
Our three highest-probability prop leans today, stacked.
Longshot prop parlay+3567
Shea Langeliers Over 1.0 Hits30%
Kevin McGonigle Over 1.0 Hits30%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.0 Hits30%
3%combined hit
$366.69on $10
3legs
Lower-probability leans with a bigger payout if they all land.
Built from model projections, not graded edges — not counted in our public record.
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