The Track Record
We grade ourselves in public — no cherry-picking, no deleting losers. No other AI pick site does this honestly.
Win rate by confidence
Confident picks 1-0 · 100.0%Judge us on Strong & Solid leans. Toss-ups are coin-flips we post for fun and to keep learning — tracked honestly, but they should not define the record.
Calibration & self-tuning
The loop is live and collecting data now. As picks grade, this panel fills with our calibration (do our 65%s actually hit 65%?), accuracy by sport and confidence tier, and a Brier score — and the model auto-corrects toward what actually happens. Self-tuning switches on automatically after 60 graded picks.
Monthly performance
| Month | Record | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
Latest results
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Model | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | WNBA | Washington Mystics @ Connecticut Sun | Washington Mystics | 76% | pending |
| 2026-06-17 | WNBA | Seattle Storm @ Portland Fire | Portland Fire | 82% | pending |
| 2026-06-17 | MLB | San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 79% | pending |
| 2026-06-17 | WNBA | New York Liberty @ Chicago Sky | New York Liberty | 79% | pending |
| 2026-06-17 | WNBA | Las Vegas Aces @ Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | 81% | pending |
| 2026-06-17 | WORLDCUP | Congo DR @ Portugal | Portugal | 80% | pending |
| 2026-06-16 | WNBA | Toronto Tempo @ Indiana Fever | Indiana Fever | 68% | win |
| 2026-06-16 | MLB | San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 79% | pending |
| 2026-06-16 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks | 65% | loss |
| 2026-06-16 | MLB | Kansas City Royals @ Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 67% | win |
| 2026-06-16 | MLB | Colorado Rockies @ Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 70% | loss |
| 2026-06-16 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians @ Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 64% | win |
| 2026-06-16 | WORLDCUP | Algeria @ Argentina | Argentina | 82% | win |
Showing the most recent 40 graded picks. Full history rolls up into the monthly table above.
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