Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants grade out as the side to be on versus Colorado Rockies, at 53% to win. Essentially a coin flip at 53% — entertainment only, not a spot to press. Pitching matchup: Landen Roupp (4.22 ERA) vs Kyle Freeland (6.63 ERA).

Why we lean this way

• Form & record: San Francisco Giants sit 50-71 (0.413), Colorado Rockies 48-73 (0.397).
• Last 10: San Francisco Giants 3-7 (L1), Colorado Rockies 4-6 (W2). Hot streaks move these lines fast.
• Run differential: San Francisco Giants -64, Colorado Rockies -116 on the year — the most honest measure of how good a team actually is, beyond their record.
• On the mound: San Francisco Giants hand the ball to Landen Roupp; Colorado Rockies counter with Kyle Freeland. Starting pitching swings a baseball game more than any other factor.
• Home field: worth about +3.5% to San Francisco Giants in our model.

The verdict

The play we like: San Francisco Giants. It is a near coin-flip at 53% — good value, not a lock. Bet what is fun to lose.

Logged to our public track record and graded after the final. We analyze; we never take wagers. 21+.